smoke prophecy = a super-volcanic eruption?
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Experts weigh supervolcano risks
Geologists have called for a taskforce to be set up to consider emergency management in the event of a massive volcanic eruption, or super-eruption.
The recommendation comes in a report timed to coincide with a BBC TV drama that depicts a fictional super-eruption at Yellowstone Park in Wyoming, US.
Experts say such an event would have a colossal impact on a global scale.
A super-eruption is also five to 10 times more likely to happen than an asteroid impact, the report claims.
The authors want to highlight the issue, which they feel is being ignored by governments. They emphasise that while catastrophic eruptions of this kind are rare in terms of a human lifetime, they are surprisingly common on a geological scale.
The effects, say the authors, "could be sufficiently severe to threaten the fabric of civilisation" - putting events such as the Asian tsunami into the shade.
The fallout from a super-eruption could cause a "volcanic winter", devastating global agriculture and causing mass starvation.
High frequency
It would have a similar effect to a 1.5km-diameter space rock striking Earth, they claim.
But while impacts of this type are estimated to occur once every 400-500,000 years, the frequency of equivalent super-eruptions is about once every 100,000 years.
"These are minimum estimates. Super-eruptions could be even more frequent; we just don't know," said Professor Stephen Self, a geologist at the Open University in Milton Keynes and a member of the working group that produced the report.
"We still have a lot of unassessed regions of the world. The US is the place where we see the largest number of super-eruptions. But that may be because more work has been done there."
One past super-eruption struck at Toba in Sumatra 74,000 years ago and is thought by some to have driven the human race to the edge of extinction. Signs from DNA suggest human numbers could have dropped to about 10,000, probably as a result of the effects of climate change.
The TV drama, called Supervolcano, sticks closely to scientific understanding of these events.
The plot revolves around a series of violent eruptions at Yellowstone in Wyoming that send thousands of cubic kilometres of rock, gas and ash spiralling up in cloud that rains down over three-quarters of the United States.
Contingency plans
Highways become blocked with cars as millions flee the unfolding disaster, and as the chain of eruptions unzips Yellowstone's volcanic crater, hundreds of thousands are killed as the ash swamps whole towns and cities.
Yellowstone is the largest volcanic system in North America
America's food-producing regions are devastated, communications are knocked out and planes are forced out of the sky.Sulphuric acid droplets form in the atmosphere, blocking out sunlight, and causing global temperatures to plummet.
Professor Stephen Sparks, of Bristol University, an author on the new report, said civil contingency plans would need to be similar to those for a nuclear war.
"You would need contingencies for food and shelter. But you would need to put a serious amount of resources into any effort to cope with an event on this scale, so it poses a dilemma," he said.
The volcanic winter resulting from a super-eruption could last several years or decades, depending on the scale of an eruption, and according to recent computer models, could cause cooling on a global scale of 5-10C.
Damage limitation
Ailsa Orr, producer of Supervolcano, said that when the programme team presented the scenario to the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema), the agency admitted it had given little thought to such an event happening on American soil.
"We don't want to be sensationalist about this, but it's going to happen. We just can't say exactly when," said Professor Self.
"But we have just had a natural disaster affecting hundreds of thousands of people. Now is the time to be thinking about this."
Yellowstone is the largest volcanic system in North America. The area's cauldrons of bubbling mud and roaring geysers attract nearly three million visitors each year.
It was an obvious choice for the programme makers as the site of their super-eruption because of its location on a highly populated continent and because it has already had three of these events, which have occurred roughly 600,000 years apart from each other.
The crater from the last super-eruption, 640,000 years ago, is large enough to fit Tokyo - the world's biggest city - inside it.
The report, released by The Geological Society in the UK, identifies at least 31 sites where super-eruptions have occurred in the past. They include Lake Taupo in New Zealand and the Phlegrean Fields near Naples, Italy.
Link http//news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4326987.stm
Peace...
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Salaam Sabo
044.010 Then watch thou for the Day that THE SKY WILL BRING FORTH a kind of smoke (or mist) plainly visible,
"The plot revolves around a series of violent eruptions at Yellowstone in Wyoming that send thousands of cubic kilometres of rock, gas and ash spiralling up in cloud that rains down over three-quarters of the United States. "
"Sulphuric acid droplets form in the atmosphere, blocking out sunlight, and causing global temperatures to plummet."
"The effects, say the authors, "could be sufficiently severe to threaten the fabric of civilisation" - putting events such as the Asian tsunami into the shade."
I think the quotes speak for itself.
Take care and have a nice day...
Peace.
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salaam born again,
I think the quotes speak for itself.
Well you might see it that way, no problem for me. But I see it differently that a vulcano is the cause, hence its not the sky which is bringing such event.
You too take care and have a nice day
Best regards,
sabo -
When a volcano erupts it emits ash and smoke into the sky.
A decade ago when Mt Pinatubo in the Phillipines erupted, the sunsets in Sydney were a bright purplish red for a year or more as a result of the longstanding effects of the ash in the high atmosphere.
While the cause is in the earth - the actual manifestation is from the sky. For example with Pompeii the ash did not come from the ground - it rained on the town from the sky.
The day before the 26/12/04 tsunami I was discussing with my father the phenomenon of tsunamis in relation to Krakatoa which is a volcano in the Indonesian islands and last erupted over a 100 years ago. It erupts every once in while in a cataclysmic eruption which is heard hundreds (thousands?) of miles around.
I think that this scenario of a super-ruption is definitely a possibility. In fact in October or so when Mt. St. Helens in Washington began to come to life again I thought to myself of such huge events. We'll have to wait and see.
Regards.
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So... should we stay away from North America then? Because when Yellowstone supervolcano blows, the US will be mostly devastated.
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http//i138.photobucket.com/albums/q270/rickrivero305/supervolcano-yellowstone.jpg
Yusuf Ali -When the earth is shaken to her (utmost) convulsion,
Pickthal -When Earth is shaken with her (final) earthquake
Arberry -When earth is shaken with a mighty shaking
Shakir- When the earth is shaken with her (violent) shaking,
Sarwar -When the earth is shaken by a terrible quake
Khalifa- When the earth is severely quaked.
Hilali/Khan -When the earth is shaken with its (final) earthquake.
H/K/Saheeh- When the earth is shaken with its earthquake
Malik- When the earth will be shaken to her utmost convulsion,
QXP-- When the earth is shaken with her mighty quaking. (A mighty Revolution will overtake the world).
Yusuf Ali And the earth throws up her burdens (from within),
Pickthal And Earth yieldeth up her burdens,
Arberry and earth brings forth her burdens,
Shakir And the earth brings forth her burdens,
Sarwar and it throws out its burden,
Khalifa And the earth ejects its loads.
Hilali/Khan And when the earth throws out its burdens,
H/K/Saheeh And the earth discharges its burdens
Malik and the earth shall bring out all her inner burdens,
QXP And the earth yields up her burdens. (Archaeology and mining will make long strides. The heavy tyrants will be thrown out of power).
Maulana Ali And the earth brings forth her burdens,
Free Minds And the Earth brings out its loads.
Qaribullah and when the earth brings forth its burdensAnd man cries (distressed) 'What is the matter with her?'-
Pickthal And man saith What aileth her?
Arberry and Man says., 'What ails her?'
Shakir And man says What has befallen her?
Sarwar the human being will say (in horror), "What is happening to it?".
Khalifa The human will wonder "What is happening?"
Hilali/Khan And man will say "What is the matter with it?"
H/K/Saheeh And man says, "What is with it?"
Malik man shall say "What is happening to her?"
QXP And mankind cries out, "What has happened to her?" (People will be stunned at the speed of unfolding events).
Maulana Ali And man says What has befallen her?
Free Minds And man will Say "What is wrong with it?"
Qaribullah and the human asks "What is the matter with it?"
Yusuf Ali On that Day will she declare her tidings
Pickthal That day she will relate her chronicles,
Arberry upon that day she shall tell her tidings
Shakir On that day she shall tell her news,
Sarwar On that day the earth will declare all (the activities of the human being) which have taken place on it,
Khalifa On that day, it will tell its news.
Hilali/Khan That Day it will declare its information (about all what happened over it of good or evil).
H/K/Saheeh That Day, it will report its news
Malik On that Day she shall report whatever had happened on her,
QXP At that time she will relate her stories. (History of benevolent revolutions will repeat itself on a massive scale).
Maulana Ali On that day she will tell her news,
Free Minds On that Day it will inform its news.
Qaribullah On that Day it shall proclaim its news,For that thy Lord will have given her inspiration.
Pickthal Because thy Lord inspireth her.
Arberry for that her Lord has inspired her.
Shakir Because your Lord had inspired her.
Sarwar having been inspired by your Lord.
Khalifa That your Lord has commanded it.
Hilali/Khan Because your Lord has inspired it.
H/K/Saheeh Because your Lord has commanded it.
Malik for your Lord shall have commanded her to do so.
QXP For your Lord will have sent His Command to her. (Progressive unfolding of the Divine Decree).
Maulana Ali As if thy Lord had revealed to her.
Free Minds That your Lord had inspired it to do so.
Qaribullah for your Lord will have revealed to it.On that Day will men proceed in companies sorted out, to be shown the deeds that they (had done).
Pickthal That day mankind will issue forth in scattered groups to be shown their deeds.
Arberry Upon that day men shall issue in scatterings to see their works,
Shakir On that day men shall come forth in sundry bodies that they may be shown their works.
Sarwar On that day, people will come out of their graves in different groups to see (the results of) their own deeds.
Khalifa On that day, the people will issue from every direction, to be shown their works.
Hilali/Khan That Day mankind will proceed in scattered groups that they may be shown their deeds.
H/K/Saheeh That Day, the people will depart separated to be shown their deeds.
Malik On that Day men shall proceed in sorted out groups to be shown their ?Book of Deeds.?
QXP On that Day will all people come forth as separate entities, to be shown their deeds. (The guilty will stand apart from the innocent. (3659)).
Maulana Ali On that day men will come forth in sundry bodies that they may be shown their works.
Free Minds On that Day, the people will be brought out in throngs to be shown their works.
Qaribullah On that Day mankind shall issue in scatterings to see their deeds.If you Notice, It Gives a type of understanding that it will be a FINAL or Very Large EarthQuake, and the INNER Burden will come out.
What is an Inner Burden?http//i138.photobucket.com/albums/q270/rickrivero305/pregnant.jpg
It also seems very significan that Earth is Described here as being a Woman, or with Woman Like attributes, Hence "Mother Earth".
And she will give "Birth" and release her burden...(her insides i.e. the Lava/smoke?) -
http//i138.photobucket.com/albums/q270/rickrivero305/supervolcano-yellowstone.jpg
Yusuf Ali -When the earth is shaken to her (utmost) convulsion,
Pickthal -When Earth is shaken with her (final) earthquake
Arberry -When earth is shaken with a mighty shaking
Shakir- When the earth is shaken with her (violent) shaking,
Sarwar -When the earth is shaken by a terrible quake
Khalifa- When the earth is severely quaked.
Hilali/Khan -When the earth is shaken with its (final) earthquake.
H/K/Saheeh- When the earth is shaken with its earthquake
Malik- When the earth will be shaken to her utmost convulsion,
QXP-- When the earth is shaken with her mighty quaking. (A mighty Revolution will overtake the world).
Yusuf Ali And the earth throws up her burdens (from within),
Pickthal And Earth yieldeth up her burdens,
Arberry and earth brings forth her burdens,
Shakir And the earth brings forth her burdens,
Sarwar and it throws out its burden,
Khalifa And the earth ejects its loads.
Hilali/Khan And when the earth throws out its burdens,
H/K/Saheeh And the earth discharges its burdens
Malik and the earth shall bring out all her inner burdens,
QXP And the earth yields up her burdens. (Archaeology and mining will make long strides. The heavy tyrants will be thrown out of power).
Maulana Ali And the earth brings forth her burdens,
Free Minds And the Earth brings out its loads.
Qaribullah and when the earth brings forth its burdensAnd man cries (distressed) 'What is the matter with her?'-
Pickthal And man saith What aileth her?
Arberry and Man says., 'What ails her?'
Shakir And man says What has befallen her?
Sarwar the human being will say (in horror), "What is happening to it?".
Khalifa The human will wonder "What is happening?"
Hilali/Khan And man will say "What is the matter with it?"
H/K/Saheeh And man says, "What is with it?"
Malik man shall say "What is happening to her?"
QXP And mankind cries out, "What has happened to her?" (People will be stunned at the speed of unfolding events).
Maulana Ali And man says What has befallen her?
Free Minds And man will Say "What is wrong with it?"
Qaribullah and the human asks "What is the matter with it?"
Yusuf Ali On that Day will she declare her tidings
Pickthal That day she will relate her chronicles,
Arberry upon that day she shall tell her tidings
Shakir On that day she shall tell her news,
Sarwar On that day the earth will declare all (the activities of the human being) which have taken place on it,
Khalifa On that day, it will tell its news.
Hilali/Khan That Day it will declare its information (about all what happened over it of good or evil).
H/K/Saheeh That Day, it will report its news
Malik On that Day she shall report whatever had happened on her,
QXP At that time she will relate her stories. (History of benevolent revolutions will repeat itself on a massive scale).
Maulana Ali On that day she will tell her news,
Free Minds On that Day it will inform its news.
Qaribullah On that Day it shall proclaim its news,For that thy Lord will have given her inspiration.
Pickthal Because thy Lord inspireth her.
Arberry for that her Lord has inspired her.
Shakir Because your Lord had inspired her.
Sarwar having been inspired by your Lord.
Khalifa That your Lord has commanded it.
Hilali/Khan Because your Lord has inspired it.
H/K/Saheeh Because your Lord has commanded it.
Malik for your Lord shall have commanded her to do so.
QXP For your Lord will have sent His Command to her. (Progressive unfolding of the Divine Decree).
Maulana Ali As if thy Lord had revealed to her.
Free Minds That your Lord had inspired it to do so.
Qaribullah for your Lord will have revealed to it.On that Day will men proceed in companies sorted out, to be shown the deeds that they (had done).
Pickthal That day mankind will issue forth in scattered groups to be shown their deeds.
Arberry Upon that day men shall issue in scatterings to see their works,
Shakir On that day men shall come forth in sundry bodies that they may be shown their works.
Sarwar On that day, people will come out of their graves in different groups to see (the results of) their own deeds.
Khalifa On that day, the people will issue from every direction, to be shown their works.
Hilali/Khan That Day mankind will proceed in scattered groups that they may be shown their deeds.
H/K/Saheeh That Day, the people will depart separated to be shown their deeds.
Malik On that Day men shall proceed in sorted out groups to be shown their ?Book of Deeds.?
QXP On that Day will all people come forth as separate entities, to be shown their deeds. (The guilty will stand apart from the innocent. (3659)).
Maulana Ali On that day men will come forth in sundry bodies that they may be shown their works.
Free Minds On that Day, the people will be brought out in throngs to be shown their works.
Qaribullah On that Day mankind shall issue in scatterings to see their deeds.If you Notice, It Gives a type of understanding that it will be a FINAL or Very Large EarthQuake, and the INNER Burden will come out.
What is an Inner Burden?http//i138.photobucket.com/albums/q270/rickrivero305/pregnant.jpg
It also seems very significan that Earth is Described here as being a Woman, or with Woman Like attributes, Hence "Mother Earth".
And she will give "Birth" and release her burden...(her insides i.e. the Lava/smoke?)Yeah, I agree. bravo bravo
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So... should we stay away from North America then? Because when Yellowstone supervolcano blows, the US will be mostly devastated.
Wouldn't make any difference. A supereruption at Yellowstone would spew so much ash into the atmosphere that it would plunge most of the earth in perpetual winter for years, killing crops, vegetation, etc thereby starving livestock, this will, of course cause human starvation around the whole world reducing the population by at least 50%. The USA would, probably, not be affected anymore than anywhere else except in the immediate vicinity, which would no longer be recognisable.
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Wouldn't make any difference. A supereruption at Yellowstone would spew so much ash into the atmosphere that it would plunge most of the earth in perpetual winter for years, killing crops, vegetation, etc thereby starving livestock, this will, of course cause human starvation around the whole world reducing the population by at least 50%. The USA would, probably, not be affected anymore than anywhere else except in the immediate vicinity, which would no longer be recognisable.
bravo